Experimental Extended-range Tropical Cyclone Forecasting
DISCLAIMER:
This is an experimental product and not an official forecast. We expect that multi-model approach is a way to reduce false alarm. As a step toward this direction, week-long forecast from JAMSTEC-NICAM has been added.
CURRENT WEEK
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Figure Caption. Tropical Cyclone strike probability from ten ensemble forecasts. |
PREVIOUS WEEK
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Figure Caption. Tropical Cyclone strike probability from ten ensemble forecasts. |
References
Fu, X. and P.-C. Hsu, 2011: Extended-range ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclogenesis in the northern Indian Ocean: Modulation of Madden-Julian Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L15803, doi:10.1029/2011GL048249.