ASI summer school, Chile
ENSO - past, present, future

Course outline:

1. Class: ENSO phenomenology (mean climate, discovery of ENSO, ENSO phenopmenology)
2. Class: Fundamental of ENSO dynamics (equatorial wave dynamics, forced tropical circulations)
3. Class: Instability theory of ENSO (SST equation, Coupled modes of ENSO)
4. Class: ENSO conceptual models, ENSO modeling (Delay oscillator, recharge oscillator)
5. Class: Past and Future ENSO (ENSO proxies, ENSO's sensitivity to climate change)


Student projects:

1. Do-it yourself ENSO prediction with an ENSO recharge model (matlab)
2. Influence of Volcanoes on ENSO (ferret)
3. ENSO's effect on tropical cyclones (grads)
4. ENSO's effect on the South Pacific Convergence Zone (grads)

Literature:

ENSO Recharge Paper
Volcano Paper
Delayed action oscillator paper
Intermediate ENSO model paper
97/98 El Nino paper
ENSO teleconnections
future ENSO
past and future ENSO, review

Instructor:

Prof. Axel Timmermann (IPRC, phone +1-808-9562720, axel@hawaii.edu)