International Pacific Research Center | People

Malte F. Stuecker

Director

International Pacific Research Center
School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology
University of Hawaii
Honolulu, Hawaii 96822

Phone: (808) 956-9158
Fax: (808) 956-9425
Email:
Webpage: https://www.soest.hawaii.edu/iprc/users/stuecker/

Education

2015 - Ph.D. (Meteorology) University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI
2009 - Diplom (Marine Environmental Sciences; German equivalent of combined BS/MS degree) Carl von Ossietzky University of Oldenburg, Germany

Research Interests

Climate variability and change in the past, present, and future
El Niño-Southern Oscillation dynamics
Ocean-atmosphere interactions
Decadal climate variability
Climate connections between the tropics and poles and between different ocean basins
Seasonal prediction
Climate impacts on society

Professional Experience

Director, International Pacific Research Center (IPRC), University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, 2025 – Present
Associate Professor, Department of Oceanography & International Pacific Research Center (IPRC), University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, 2024 – Present
Assistant Professor, Department of Oceanography & International Pacific Research Center (IPRC), University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, 2020 – 2024
Assistant Project Leader (Research Professor), leading the "Tropical climate dynamics: past, present, future" group at the IBS Center for Climate Physics (ICCP), Pusan National University, 2018 – 2019
NOAA Climate & Global Change Postdoctoral Fellow, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, 2016 – 2018
Postdoctoral Researcher, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, 2015 – 2016

Honors & Awards

2026 - American Meteorological Society (AMS) Clarence Leroy Meisinger Award
2024 - Fellow of the American Geophysical Union (AGU)
2024 - American Geophysical Union (AGU) James B. Macelwane Medal
2024 - University of Hawaiʻi Regents' Medal for Excellence in Research
2023 - International Association for the Physical Sciences of the Oceans (IAPSO) Early Career Scientist Medal in Physical Oceanography
2022 - NSF CAREER Award
2020 - Kamide Lecture Award, Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (Atmosphere Sciences section)
2018 - STS forum (Science and Technology in Society forum) Future Leaders Program fellow, Kyoto, Japan
2016 - European Geosciences Union Outstanding Young Scientist Award of the ”Climate: Past, Present & Future (CL)” Division
2016 - NOAA Climate & Global Change postdoctoral fellowship (alumni class 26)

Refereed Publications

Armour, K. C., C. Proistosescu, Y. Dong, L. C. Hahn, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, A. G. Pauling, R. C. Jnglin Wills, T. Andrews, M.F. Stuecker, S. Po-Chedley, I. Mitevski, P. M. Forster, and J. M. Gregory, in press: Sea-surface temperature pattern effects have slowed global warming and biased warming-based constraints on climate sensitivity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, IPRC-1614.
Feng, X., M.J. Widlansky, T. Lee, O. Wang, M. A. Balmaseda, H. Zuo, G. Dusek, W. Sweet, and M.F. Stuecker, in press: Indications of improved seasonal sea level forecasts for the United States Gulf and East Coasts using ocean-dynamic persistence. Ocean Science, IPRC-1642.
Ham, Y.-G., J.-H. Kim, S.-K. Min, D. Kim, T. Li, A. Timmermann, and M.F. Stuecker, in press: Anthropogenic fingerprints in daily precipitation revealed by deep learning. Nature, IPRC-1602.
Hauri, C., R. Pages, K. S. Hedstrom, S. C. Doney, S. Dupont, B. Ferriss, and M.F. Stuecker, in press: More than marine heatwaves: A new regime of heat, acidity, and low oxygen compound extreme events in the Gulf of Alaska. AGU Advances, IPRC-1613.
Jiang, F., W. Zhang, J. Boucharel, F.-F. Jin, M. J. McPhaden, and M.F. Stuecker, in press: Multi-season lead prediction of Atlantic Niño facilitated by Pacific Ocean precursors. Geophys. Res. Lett., IPRC-1632.
Liu, C., S.-I. An, S.-K. Kim, M.F. Stuecker, W. Zhang, F.-F. Jin, J.-H. Park, L. Jiang, A. Xue, X. Geng, H.-J. Park, Y.-M. Yang, and J.-S. Kug, in press: Synchronous Decadal Climate Variability in the Tropical Central Pacific and Tropical South Atlantic. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, IPRC-1626.
Moon, J.-Y., J. Streffing, S.-S. Lee, T. Semmler, M. Andrés-Martínez, J. Chen, E.-B. Cho, J.-E. Chu, C. Franzke, J. P. Gärtner, R. Ghosh, J. Hegewald, S. Hong, D.-W. Kim, N. Koldunov, J.-Y. Lee, Z. Lin, C. Liu, S. Loza, W. Park, W. Roh, D. V. Sein, S. Sharma, D. Sidorenko, J.-H. Son, M. F. Stuecker, Q. Wang, G. Yi, M. Zapponini, T. Jung, and A. Timmermann, : Earth's future climate and its variability simulated at 9 km global resolution Earth System Dynamics, IPRC-1639.
Richter, I., P. Chang, P.-G. Chiu, G. Danabasoglu, T. Doi, D. Dommenget, G. Gastineau, A. Hu, T. Kataoka, N. S. Keenlyside, F. Kucharski, Y. M. Okumura, W. Park, M.F. Stuecker, A. S. Taschetto, C. Wang, S. G. Yeager, and S.-W. Yeh, in press: The Tropical Basin Interaction Model Intercomparison Project (TBIMIP). Geoscientific Model Development, IPRC-1634.
Stuecker, M.F., S. Zhao, A. Timmermann, R. Ghosh, T. Semmler, S.-S. Lee, J.-Y. Moon, F.-F. Jin, and T. Jung, in press: Global climate mode resonance due to rapidly intensifying El Niño-Southern Oscillation Nature Communications, IPRC-1645.
Vialard, J., F.-F. Jin, M. J. McPhaden, A. Fedorov, W. Cai, S.-I. An, D. Dommenget, X. Fang, M.F. Stuecker, C. Wang, A. Wittenberg, S. Zhao, F. Liu, S.-K. Kim, Y. Planton, T. Geng, M. Lengaigne, A. Capotondi, N. Chen, L. Geng, S. Hu, T. Izumo, J.-S. Kug, J.-J. Luo, S. McGregor, B. Pagli, P. Priya, S. Stevenson, and S. Thual, : The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Recharge Oscillator Conceptual Model: Achievements and Future Prospects. Reviews of Geophysics, IPRC-1635.
Xuan, Z., W. Zhang, F. Jiang, M.F. Stuecker, and F.-F. Jin, in press: Seasonal-varying characteristics of tropical Pacific westerly wind bursts during El Nino due to annual cycle modulation. Clim. Dyn., IPRC-1606.
Zhang, W., X. Lei, G. Chen, P.-C. Hsu, F. Jiang, M.F. Stuecker, F.-F. Jin, and C. Liu, in press: Tripling of MJO residence time over the rapidly warming Indian Ocean during summer monsoon. Science Bulletin, IPRC-1631.
Friedrich, T., B. S. Powell, J. L. Gunnarson, G. Liu, S. F. Giardina, M.F. Stuecker, L. Hošeková, K. Feloy, and C. A. Stock, 2024: Submesoscale-permitting physical/biogeochemical future projections for the main Hawaiian Islands. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16 (2), e2023MS003855, doi:10.1029/2023MS003855. IPRC-1617.
Gunnarson, J. L., M.F. Stuecker, and S. Zhao, 2024: Drivers of Future Extratropical Sea Surface Temperature Variability Changes in the North Pacific. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7 (164), doi:doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00702-5. IPRC-1621.
Park, H.-J., S.-I. An, J.-H. Park, M.F. Stuecker, C. Liu, and S.-W. Yeh, 2024: Local feedback and ENSO govern decadal changes in variability and seasonal synchronization of the Indian Ocean Dipole. Communications Earth & Environment, 5 (357), 1-8, doi:10.1038/s43247-024-01525-1. IPRC-1622.
Watanabe, M., S. M. Kang, M. Collins, Y.-T. Hwang, S. McGregor, and M.F. Stuecker, 2024: Possible Shift in Controls of the Tropical Pacific Surface Warming Pattern. Nature, 630, 315-324, doi:10.1038/s41586-024-07452-7. IPRC-1619.
Widiasih, E. R., A. Keane, and M.F. Stuecker, 2024: The Mid Pleistocene Transition from Budyko's Energy Balance Model. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 458, 133991, doi:10.1016/j.physd.2023.133991. IPRC-1612.
Zhao, S., F.-F. Jin, M.F. Stuecker, P. R. Thompson, J.-S. Kug, M. J. McPhaden, M. A. Cane, A. T. Wittenberg, and W. Cai, 2024: Explainable El Niño predictability from climate mode interactions. Nature, 630 (8018), 891-898, doi:10.1038/s41586-024-07534-6. IPRC-1620.
Amaya, D. J., M. G. Jacox, M. R. Fewings, V. S. Saba, M.F. Stuecker, R. R. Rykaczewski, A. C. Ross, C. A. Stock, A. Capotondi, C. M. Petrik, S. J. Bograd, M. A. Alexander, W. Cheng, A. J. Hermann, K. A. Kearney, and B. S. Powell, 2023: Marine heatwaves need clear definitions so coastal communities can adapt. Nature, 616, 29-32, doi:10.1038/d41586-023-00924-2. IPRC-1596.
Capotondi, A., S. McGregor, M. J. McPhaden, S. Cravatte, N. J. Holbrook, Y. Imada, S. C. Sanchez, J. Sprintall, M.F. Stuecker, C. C. Ummenhofer, M. Zeller, R. Farneti, G. Graffino, S. Hu, K. B. Karnauskas, Y. Kosaka, F. Kucharski, M. Mayer, B. Qiu, A. Santoso, A. S. Taschetto, F. Wang, X. Zhang, R. M. Holmes, J.-J. Luo, N. Maher, C. Martinez-Villalobos, G. A. Meehl, R. Naha, N. Schneider, S. Stevenson, A. Sullivan, P. van Rensch, and T. Xu, 2023: Mechanisms of Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 4, 754-769, doi:10.1038/s43017-023-00486-x. IPRC-1611.
Hu, S., W. Zhang, F.-F. Jin, L.-C. Hong, F. Jiang, and M.F. Stuecker, 2023: Seasonal dependence of Pacific-North American teleconnection associated with ENSO and its interaction with the annual cycle. J. Climate, 36, 7061-7072, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0148.1. IPRC-1604.
Jiang, F., W. Zhang, F.-F. Jin, M.F. Stuecker, A. Timmermann, M. J. McPhaden, J. Boucharel, and A. T. Wittenberg, 2023: Resolving the Tropical Pacific/Atlantic Interaction Conundrum. Geophys. Res. Lett., 50 (13), e2023GL103777, doi:10.1029/2023GL103777. IPRC-1601.
Kim, J.-E., R. Yamaguchi, K. B. Rodgers, A. Timmermann, S.-S. Lee, K. Stein, G. Danabasoglu, J.-F. Lamarque, J. T. Fasullo, C. Deser, N. Rosenbloom, J. Edwards, and M.F. Stuecker, 2023: Interannual fires as a source for subarctic summer decadal climate variability mediated by permafrost thawing. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6, 84, doi:10.1038/s41612-023-00415-1. IPRC-1599.
Liu, C., S.-I. An, F.-F. Jin, J. Shin, J.-S. Kug, W. Zhang, M.F. Stuecker, X. Yuan, A. Xue, X. Geng, and S.-K. Kim, 2023: Hysteresis of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation to CO2 forcing. Science Advances, 9 (31), eadh8442, doi:10.1126/sciadv.adh8442. IPRC-1600.
Liu, C., S.-I. An, F.-F. Jin, M.F. Stuecker, W. Zhang, J.-S. Kug, X. Yuan, J. Shin, A. Xue, X. Geng, and S.-K. Kim, 2023: ENSO skewness hysteresis and associated changes in strong El Nino under a CO2 removal scenario. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6, 117, doi:10.1038/s41612-023-00448-6. IPRC-1608.
Maher, N., R. C. Jnglin Wills, P. DiNezio, J. Klavans, S. Milinski, S. C. Sanchez, S. Stevenson, M.F. Stuecker, and X. Wu, 2023: The future of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation: Using large ensembles to illuminate time-varying responses and inter-model differences. Earth System Dynamics, 14 (2), 413-431, doi:10.5194/esd-14-413-2023. IPRC-1595.
Takahashi, N., K.J. Richards, N. Schneider, M.F. Stuecker, H. Annamalai, and M. Nonaka, 2023: Observed relative contributions of anomalous heat fluxes and effective heat capacity to sea surface temperature variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 50 (17), e2023GL103165, doi:10.1029/2023GL103165. IPRC-1605.
Yamaguchi, R., J.-E. Kim, K. B. Rodgers, K. Stein, A. Timmermann, S.-S. Lee, L. Huang, M.F. Stuecker, J. T. Fasullo, G. Danabasoglu, C. Deser, J.-F. Lamarque, N. A. Rosenbloom, and J. Edwards, 2023: Persistent ocean anomalies as a response to Northern Hemisphere heating induced by biomass burning variability. J. Climate, 36 (23), 8225-8241, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0090.1. IPRC-1610.
Chung, E.-S., J.-S. Kim, A. Timmermann, K.-J. Ha, S.-K. Lee, M.F. Stuecker, K. B. Rodgers, S.-S. Lee, and L. Huang, 2022: Antarctic sea ice expansion and Southern Ocean cooling linked to tropical variability Nature Climate Change, 12, 461-468, doi:10.1038/s41558-022-01339-z. IPRC-1559.
Frazier, A.G., B.T. Yen, M.F. Stuecker, K.M. Nelson, B.O. Sander, M.B. Kantar, and D.R. Wang, 2022: Impact of historical climate variability on rice production in Mainland Southeast Asia across multiple scales. Anthropocene, 40, 100353, doi:10.1016/j.ancene.2022.100353. IPRC-1586.
Huang, Z., W. Zhang, C. Liu, and M.F. Stuecker, 2022: Extreme Indian Ocean dipole events associated with El Nino and Madden–Julian oscillation Clim. Dyn., , doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06190-8. IPRC-1558.
Jeong, H., H.-S. Park, M.F. Stuecker, and S.-W. Yeh, 2022: Distinct impacts of major El Niño events on Arctic temperatures due to differences in eastern tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures. Science Advances, 8 (4), doi:10.1126/sciadv.abl8278. IPRC-1550.
Jeong, H., H.-S. Park, M.F. Stuecker, and. S.-W. Yeh, 2022: Record low Arctic sea ice extent in 2012 linked to two-year La Niña-driven sea surface temperature pattern Geophys. Res. Lett., 49 (9), e2022GL098385, doi:10.1029/2022GL098385. IPRC-1563.
Kim, D., H. Kim, S. M. Kang, M.F. Stuecker, and T. M. Merlis, 2022: Weak future Hadley cell intensity changes due to compensating effects of tropical and extratropical radiative forcing. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, 61, doi:10.1038/s41612-022-00287-x. IPRC-1570.
Liu, C., W. Zhang, F.-F. Jin, M.F. Stuecker, and L. Geng, 2022: Equatorial Origin of the Observed Tropical Pacific Quasi-decadal Variability from ENSO Nonlinearity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 49 (10), e2022GL097903, doi:10.1029/2022GL097903. IPRC-1567.
Maillard, L., J. Boucharel, M.F. Stuecker, F.-F. Jin, and L. Renault, 2022: Modulation of the Eastern Equatorial Pacific seasonal cycle by Tropical Instability Waves. Geophys. Res. Lett., 49 (23), e2022GL100991, doi:10.1029/2022GL100991. IPRC-1585.
Park, C., S.M. Park, and M.F. Stuecker, and F.-F. Jin, 2022: Distinct Surface Warming Response over the Western and Eastern Equatorial Pacific to Radiative Forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett., 49 (2), e2021GL095829, doi:10.1029/2021GL095829. IPRC-1554.
Richter, I., M.F. Stuecker, N. Takahashi, and N. Schneider, 2022: Disentangling the North Pacific Meridional Mode from tropical Pacific variability. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, 94, doi:10.1038/s41612-022-00317-8. IPRC-1578.
Santer, B. D., S. Po-Chedley, N. Feldl, J. C. Fyfe, Q. Fu, S. Solomon, M. England, K. B. Rodgers, M.F. Stuecker, C. Mears, C.-Z. Zou, C. J. W. Bonfils, G. Pallotta, M. D. Zelinka, N. Rosenbloom, and J. Edwards, 2022: Robust anthropogenic signal identified in the seasonal cycle of tropospheric temperature. J. Climate, 35, 6075-6100, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0766.1. IPRC-1568.
Shin, N.-Y., J.-S. Kug, M.F. Stuecker, F.-F. Jin, A. Timmermann, and G.-I. Kim, 2022: More Frequent Central Pacific El Nino and Stronger Eastern Pacific El Nino in a Warmer Climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5 (101), doi:10.1038/s41612-022-00324-9. IPRC-1590.
Zhang, H., W. Zhang, X. Geng, F. Jiang, and M.F. Stuecker, 2022: Seasonally modulated El Nino precipitation response in the eastern Pacific and its dependence on El Nino flavors J. Climate, 35, 5449-5462, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0826.1. IPRC-1564.
Zhang, Y., S.-Y. Yu, D. J. Amaya, Y. Kosaka, M.F. Stuecker, J.-C. Yang, X. Lin, and L. Fan, 2022: Atmospheric Forcing of the Pacific Meridional Mode: Tropical Pacific-Driven versus Internal Variability Geophys. Res. Lett., 49 (7), e2022GL098148, doi:10.1029/2022GL098148. IPRC-1561.
Cai, W., A. Santoso, M. Collins, B. Dewitte, C. Karamperidou, J.-S. Kug, M. Lengaigne, M. J. McPhaden, M.F. Stuecker, A. S. Taschetto, A. Timmermann, L. Wu, S.-W. Yeh, G. Wang, B. Ng, F. Jia, Y. Yang, J. Ying, X. Zheng, T. Bayr, J. R. Brown, A. Capotondi, K. M. Cobb, B. Gan, T. Geng, Y.-G. Ham, F.-F. Jin, H.-S. Jo, X. Li, X. Lin, S. McGregor, J.-H. Park, K. Stein, K. Yang, and L. Zhang, 2021: Changing ENSO in a warming climate. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 2, 628-644, doi:10.1038/s43017-021-00199-z. IPRC-1525.
Chung, E.-S., K.-J. Ha, A. Timmermann, M. F. Stuecker, T. Bodai, and S.-K. Lee, 2021: Cold-Season Arctic Amplification Driven by Arctic Ocean-Mediated Seasonal Energy Transfer. Earth's Future, 9, doi:10.1029/2020EF001898. IPRC-1497.
Hauri, C., R. Pages, A. M. P. McDonnell, M.F. Stuecker, S. L. Danielson, K. Hedstrom, B. Irving, C. Schultz, and S. C. Doney, 2021: Modulation of ocean acidification by decadal climate variability in the Gulf of Alaska. Communications Earth & Environment, 2 (191), doi:10.1038/s43247-021-00254-z. IPRC-1530.
Jiang, F., W. Zhang, F.-F. Jin, and M.F. Stuecker, 2021: Meridional migration of ENSO impact on tropical Atlantic precipitation controlled by the seasonal cycle Geophys. Res. Lett., 48 (24), e2021GL096365, doi:10.1029/2021GL096365. IPRC-1549.
Jiang, F., W. Zhang, F.-F. Jin, M.F. Stuecker, and R. Allan, 2021: El Nino pacing orchestrates inter-basin Pacific-Indian Ocean interannual connections. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48 (19), e2021GL095242, doi:10.1029/2021GL095242. IPRC-1537.
Kim, I.-W., M. F. Stuecker, A. Timmermann, E. Zeller, J.-S. Kug, S.-W. Park, and J.-S. Kim, 2021: Tropical Indo-Pacific SST influences on vegetation variability in eastern Africa. Scientific Reports, 11, doi:10.1038/s41598-021-89824-x. IPRC-1520.
Liu, C., W. Zhang, F. Jiang, M.F. Stuecker, and Z. Huang, 2021: Record-low WNP tropical cyclone activity in early summer 2020 due to Indian Ocean warming and Madden-Julian Oscillation activity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48 (14), e2021GL094578, doi:10.1029/2021GL094578. IPRC-1529.
Rodgers, K. B., S.-S. Lee, N. Rosenbloom, A. Timmermann, G. Danabasoglu, C. Deser, J. Edwards, J.-E. Kim, I. Simpson, K. Stein, M.F. Stuecker, R. Yamaguchi, T. Bodai, E.-S. Chung, L. Huang, W. M. Kim, J.-F. Lamarque, D. L. Lombardozzi, W. R. Wieder, and S. G. Yeager, 2021: Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability. Earth System Dynamics, 12, 1393-1411, doi:10.5194/esd-12-1393-2021. IPRC-1540.
Shin, Y., S. M. Kang, K. Takahashi, M. F. Stuecker, Y.-T. Hwang, and D. Kim, 2021: Evolution of the Tropical Response to Periodic Extratropical Thermal Forcing. J. Climate, 34 (15), 6335-6353, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0493.1. IPRC-1521.
Stuecker, M.F., 2021: New insights into future tropical climate change. Nature Climate Change, 11, 645-646, doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01107-5. IPRC-1526.
Wengel, C., S.-S. Lee, M.F. Stuecker, A. Timmermann, J.-E. Chu, and F. Schloesser, 2021: Future high-resolution El Nino-Southern Oscillation dynamics. Nature Climate Change, 11, 758-765, doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01132-4. IPRC-1527.
Yun, K.-S., A. Timmermann, and M. F. Stuecker, 2021: Synchronized spatial shifts of Hadley and Walker circulations. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (1), 121-132, doi:10.5194/esd-12-121-2021. IPRC-1496.
Yun, K.-S., J.-Y. Lee, A. Timmermann, K. Stein, M. F. Stuecker, J. C. Fyfe, and E.-S. Chung, 2021: Increasing ENSO–rainfall variability due to changes in future tropical temperature–rainfall relationship. Communications Earth & Environment, 2, doi:10.1038/s43247-021-00108-8. IPRC-1493.
Zhang, W., F. Jiang, M. F. Stuecker, F.-F. Jin, and A. Timmermann, 2021: Spurious North Tropical Atlantic precursors to El Nino. Nature Communications, 12 (3096), doi:10.1038/s41467-021-23411-6 . IPRC-1518.
Zhang, W., W. Mao, F. Jiang, M.F. Stuecker, F.-F. Jin, and L. Qi, 2021: Tropical Indo-Pacific Compounding Thermal Conditions Drive the 2019 Australian Extreme Drought. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48 (2), e2020GL090323, doi:10.1029/2020GL090323. IPRC-1495.
Zhang, W., Z. Huang, F. Jiang, M.F. Stuecker, G. Chen, and F.-F. Jin, 2021: Exceptionally persistent Madden-Julian Oscillation activity contributes to the extreme 2020 East Asian summer monsoon rainfall. Geophys. Res. Lett., , doi:10.1029/2020GL091588. IPRC-1505.
Zhang, Y., S. Yu, D. J. Amaya, Y. Kosaka, S. M. Larson, X. Wang, J.-C. Yang, M. F. Stuecker, S.-P. Xie, A. J. Miller, and X. Lin, 2021: Pacific Meridional Modes without Equatorial Pacific Influence. J. Climate, , 1-51, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0573.1. IPRC-1511.
Zhao, S., F.-F. Jin, and M.F. Stuecker, 2021: Understanding Lead Times of Warm-Water-Volumes to ENSO Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48 (19), e2021GL094366, doi:10.1029/2021GL094366. IPRC-1535.
Chu, J.-E., S.-S. Lee, A. Timmermann, C. Wengel, M. F. Stuecker, and R. Yamaguchi, 2020: Reduced tropical cyclone densities and ocean effects due to anthropogenic greenhouse warming. Science Advances, 6 (51), doi:10.1126/sciadv.abd5109. IPRC-1482.
Geng, X., W. Zhang, F.-F. Jin, M.F. Stuecker, and A.F.Z. Levine, 2020: Modulation of the relationship between ENSO and its combination mode by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. J. Climate, 33 (11), 4679-4695, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0740.1. IPRC-1432.
Hayashi, M., F.-F. Jin, and M.F. Stuecker, 2020: Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern. Nature Communications, 11 (4230), doi:10.1038/s41467-020-17983-y. IPRC-1464.
Jiang F., W. Zhang, M.F. Stuecker, and F.-F. Jin, 2020: Decadal change of Combination Mode spatiotemporal characteristics due to an ENSO regime shift. J. Climate, 33, 5239-5251, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0822.1. IPRC-1437.
Jin, F.-F., H. Chen, S. Zhao, M. Hayashi, C. Karamperidou, M.F. Stuecker, R. Xie, and L. Geng, 2020: Simple ENSO Models. El Nino Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate (Geophysical Monograph Series), , doi:10.1002/9781119548164.ch6. IPRC-1483.
Kang, S. M., S.-P. Xie, Y. Shin, H. Kim, Y.-T. Hwang, M.F. Stuecker, B. Xiang, and M. Hawcroft, 2020: Walker circulation response to extratropical radiative forcing. Science Advances, 6 (47), doi:10.1126/sciadv.abd3021. IPRC-1476.
Karamperidou, C., M.F. Stuecker, A. Timmermann, K.-S. Yun, S.-S., Lee, F.-F. Jin, A. Santoso, M. J. McPhaden, and W.-J. Cai, 2020: ENSO in a Changing Climate: Challenges, Paleo-Perspectives, and Outlook. El Nino Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate (Geophysical Monograph Series), , doi:10.1002/9781119548164.ch21. IPRC-1485.
Li, Z., W. Zhang, F.-F. Jin, M.F. Stuecker, C. Sun, A. Levine, H. Xu, and C. Liu, 2020: A Robust Relationship between Multidecadal Global Warming Rate Variations and the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. Clim. Dyn., 55, 1945-1959, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05362-8. IPRC-1455.
Loeb, N.G., H. Wang, R. Allan, T. Andrews, K. Armour, J.N.S. Cole, J.-L. Dufresne, P. Forster, A. Gettelman, H. Guo, T. Mauritsen, Y. Ming, D. Paynter, C. Proistosescu, M.F. Stuecker, U. Willén, and K. Wyser, 2020: New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth’s Radiation Budget Observed by CERES. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, doi:10.1029/2019GL086705. IPRC-1431.
Park, S.-W., J.-S. Kim, J.-S. Kug, M.F. Stuecker, I.-W. Kim, and M. Williams, 2020: Two aspects of decadal ENSO variability modulating the long-term global carbon cycle. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2019GL086390, doi:10.1029/2019GL086390. IPRC-1439.
Stuecker, M.F., C. Karamperidou, A. D. Nugent, G. Torri, S. Coats, and S. Businger, 2020: Comment on “The Financial Dilemma of Students Pursuing an Atmospheric Science Graduate Degree in the United States” by Card et al. (2020) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101 (9), doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0122.1 . IPRC-1508.
Taschetto, A.S., C.C. Ummenhofer, M.F. Stuecker, D. Dommenget, K. Ashok, R.R. Rodrigues, and S.-W. Yeh, 2020: ENSO Atmospheric Teleconnections. El Nino Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate (Geophysical Monograph Series), , doi:10.1002/9781119548164.ch14. IPRC-1484.
Zhao, S., M.F. Stuecker, F.-F. Jin, J. Feng, H.-L. Ren, W. Zhang, and J. Li, 2020: Improved Predictability of the Indian Ocean Dipole using a Stochastic-Dynamical Model compared to the North American Multi-Model Ensemble Forecast. Weather and Forecasting, 35, 379-399, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0184.1. IPRC-1422.
Cai, W., L. Wu, M. Lengaigne, T. Li, et al., 2019: Pan-tropical climate interactions. Science, 363 (6430), eeav4236, doi:10.1126/science.aav4236. IPRC-1357.
Stuecker, M.F., F.-F. Jin, A. Timmermann, and S. McGregor, 2016: Reply to "Comments on Combination Mode Dynamics of the Anomalous Northwest Pacific Anticyclone." J. Climate, 29 (12), 4695-4706, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0558.1. IPRC-1181.
Stuecker, M.F., A. Timmermann, J. Yoon, and F.-F. Jin, 2015: Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation (TBO) indistinguishable from white noise. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42 (18), 7785-7791, doi:10.1002/2015GL065878. IPRC-1149.
Stuecker, M.F., F.-F. Jin, A. Timmermann, and S. McGregor, 2015: Combination Mode Dynamics of the anomalous North-West Pacific Anticyclone. J. Climate, 28 (3), 1093-1111, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00225.1. IPRC-1082.
Stuecker, M.F., F.-F. Jin, and A. Timmermann, 2015: El Niño-Southern Oscillation Frequency Cascade. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112 (44), 13490-13495, doi:10.1073/pnas.1508622112. IPRC-1154.
McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, M.F. Stuecker, M.H. England, M. Merrifield, F.-F. Jin, and Y. Chikamoto, 2014: Recent Walker circulation strengthening and Pacific cooling amplified by Atlantic warming. Nature Climate Change, 4, 888-892, doi:10.1038/nclimate2330. IPRC-1103.
Stein, K., A. Timmermann, N. Schneider, F.-F. Jin, and M. Stuecker, 2014: ENSO seasonal synchronization theory. J. Climate, 27 (14), 5285-5310, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00525.1. IPRC-1051.
Widlansky, M.J., A. Timmermann, S. McGregor, M.F. Stuecker, and W. Cai, 2014: An interhemispheric tropical sea level seesaw due to El Niño Taimasa. J. Climate, 27 (3), 1070-1081, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00276.1. IPRC-1018.
Stuecker, M. F., A. Timmermann, F.-F. Jin, C. Proistosescu, S. M. Kang, D. Kim, K.-S. Yun, E.-S. Chung, J.-E. Chu, C. M. Bitz, K. C. Armour, and M. Hayashi, 2020: Strong remote control of future equatorial warming by off-equatorial forcing. Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0667-6
Liu, C.,W. Zhang, M. F. Stuecker, and F.-F. Jin, 2019: Pacific meridional mode-western North Pacific tropical cyclone linkage explained by tropical Pacific quasi-decadal variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2019GL085340
Jiang, F., W. Zhang, X. Geng, M. F. Stuecker, and C. Liu, 2019: Impacts of Central Pacific El Niño on Southern China spring precipitation controlled by its longitudinal position. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0266.1
Zhao, S., F.-F. Jin, and M. F. Stuecker, 2019: Improved predictability of the Indian Ocean Dipole using seasonally modulated ENSO forcing forecasts. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2019GL084196
Zhang,W., S. Li, F.-F. Jin, R. Xie, C. Liu, M. F. Stuecker, and A. Xue, 2019: ENSO regime changes responsible for decadal phase relationship variations between ENSO sea surface temperature and warm water volume. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 7546-7553, doi:10.1029/2019GL082943
Li, Z., W. Zhang, M. F. Stuecker, H. Xu, F.-F. Jin, and C. Liu, 2019: Different effects of two ENSO types on Arctic surface temperature in boreal winter. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0761.1
Tian, B., H.-L. Ren, F.-F. Jin, and M. F. Stuecker, 2019: Diagnosing the representation and causes of the ENSO Persistence Barrier in CMIP5 simulations. Clim. Dyn., 53, 2147-2160, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04810-4
Liu, C.,W. Zhang, X. Geng, M. F. Stuecker, and F.-F. Jin, 2019: Modulation of Tropical Cyclones in the Southeastern part of the Western North Pacific by tropical Pacific decadal variability. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04799-w
Stuecker, M. F., C. M. Bitz, K. C. Armour, C. Proistosescu, S. M. Kang, S.-P. Xie, D. Kim, et al., 2018: Polar amplification dominated by local forcing and feedbacks. Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0339-y
Timmermann, A., S.-I. An, J.-S. Kug, F.-F. Jin, W. Cai, A. Capotondi, K. Cobb, M. Lengaigne, M. J. McPhaden, M. F. Stuecker, et al., 2018: El Niño-Southern Oscillation Complexity. Nature, 559, 535-545, doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0252-6
Stuecker, M. F., M. Tigchelaar, and M. B. Kantar, 2018: Climate variability impacts on rice production in the Philippines. PLoS ONE, 13(8), e0201426, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0201426
Proistosescu, C., A. Donohoe, K. C. Armour, G. Roe, M. F. Stuecker, and C. M. Bitz, 2018: Radiative feedbacks from stochastic variability in surface temperature and radiative imbalance. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 5082-5094, doi:10.1029/2018GL077678
McGregor, S., M. F. Stuecker, J. B. Kajtar, M. H. England, and M. Collins, 2018: Model Tropical Atlantic biases underpin diminished Pacific decadal variability. Nature Climate Change, 8, 493-498, doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0163-4
Zhang, W., Z.Wang, M. F. Stuecker, A. G. Turner, F.-F. Jin, and X. Geng, 2018: Impact of ENSO longitudinal position on teleconnections to the NAO. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4135-1
Stuecker, M. F., 2018: Revisiting the Pacific Meridional Mode. Scientific Reports, 8, doi:10.1038/s41598-018-21537-0
Park, K., S. M. Kang, D. Kim, M. F. Stuecker, and F.-F. Jin, 2018: Contrasting local and remote effects of surface heating on polar warming and amplification. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0600.1
Geng, X., W. Zhang, F.-F. Jin, and M. F. Stuecker, 2018: A new method for interpreting nonstationary running correlations and its application to the ENSO-EAWM relationship. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 327-334, doi:10.1002/2017GL076564
Kang, S. M., K. Park, F.-F. Jin, and M. F. Stuecker, 2017: Common warming pattern emerges irrespective of forcing location. J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys., 9, 2413-2424, doi:10.1002/2017MS001083
Stuecker, M. F., C. M. Bitz, and K. C. Armour, 2017: Conditions leading to the unprecedented low Antarctic sea ice extent during the 2016 austral spring season. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 9008-9019, doi:10.1002/2017GL074691
Geng, X., W. Zhang, M. F. Stuecker, and F.-F. Jin, 2017: Strong sub-seasonal wintertime cooling over East Asia and Northern Europe associated with super El Niño events. Scientific Reports, 7, 3770, doi:10.1038/s41598-017-03977-2
Stuecker, M. F., A. Timmermann, F.-F. Jin, Y. Chikamoto, W. Zhang, A. T. Wittenberg, E. Widiasih, and S. Zhao, 2017: Revisiting ENSO/Indian Ocean Dipole phase relationships. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, doi:10.1002/2016GL072308
Levine, A. F. Z., F.-F. Jin, and M. F. Stuecker, 2017: A simple approach to quantifying the noise-ENSO interaction. Part II: the role of coupling between the warm Pool and equatorial zonal wind anomalies. Clim. Dyn., 48, 19-37, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3268-3
Geng, X., W. Zhang, M. F. Stuecker, P. Liu, F.-F. Jin, and G. Tan, 2016: Decadal modulation of the ENSO-East Asian winter monsoon relationship by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382- 016-3465-0
Zhang, W., F.-F. Jin, M. F. Stuecker, A. T. Wittenberg, A. Timmermann, H.-L. Ren, J.-S. Kug, W. Cai, and M. Cane, 2016: Unraveling El Niño's Impact on the East Asian Monsoon and Yangtze River Summer Flooding. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 11375-11382, doi:10.1002/2016GL071190
Zhang,W., H. Li, M. F. Stuecker, F.-F. Jin, and A. G. Turner, 2016: A New Understanding of El Niño's Impact over East Asia: Dominance of the ENSO Combination Mode. J. Climate, 29, 4347-4359, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0104.1
Zhang, W., Y. Wang, F.-F. Jin, M. F. Stuecker, and A. G. Turner, 2015: Impact of different El Niño types on the El Niño/IOD relationship. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 8570-8576, doi: 10.1002/2015GL065703
Ren, H.-L., J. Zuo, F.-F. Jin, and M. F. Stuecker, 2015: ENSO and annual cycle interaction: The combination mode representation in CMIP5 models. Clim. Dyn., 46, 3753-3765, doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2802-z
Zhang, W., H. Li, F.-F. Jin, M. F. Stuecker, A. G. Turner, and N. Klingaman, 2015: The Annual-Cycle Modulation of Meridional Asymmetry in ENSO's Atmospheric Response and Its Dependence on ENSO Zonal Structure. J. Climate, 28, 5795-5812, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00724.1
Ren, H.-L., F.-F. Jin, M. F. Stuecker, and R. Xie, 2013: ENSO Regime Change since the Late 1970s as Manifested by Two Types of ENSO. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 91, 835-842, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2013-608
Stuecker, M. F., and R. E. Zeebe, 2010: Ocean chemistry and atmospheric CO2 sensitivity to carbon perturbations throughout the Cenozoic. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L03609, doi:10.1029/2009GL041436